FoE Soccer Cup 2016 event is behind us. Many of You got different rewards, some of You wondered what is better – to choose certain but expensive prizes or to draw not certain but much cheaper chests? Do you think that only You drawed only grandstands instead of Shrines of Knowledge? Or maybe You are the lucky guys who won something interesting?
In Soccer Cup event there were 2 possible ways of winning. First – paying a lot of cups and win a certain reward, which has changed each 6 hours. It was expensive but certain. The second way was to draw chests for 700 cups. Much cheaper but in chests were available only a few interesting prizes and you couldn’t be sure, what you will win. Many of you complained, that you were cheated and instead of Fields and Shrines you got watchfires and Observatory blueprints.
I actually didn’t need any specific reward available for cups and so i was interested only in buildings producing Forge Points, i have decided to take the risk and draw the chests. I have collected more than 23 800 cups so i was able to draw even 34 chests (including 32 in a raw at the end of the event and other 2 chests in the 2 last days). It made me possible to verify the probability of drawing rewards. Is it realy the same as the game developers said?
1. What have i won? Statistics.
|Reward||Probability defined by game developers||My number of hits||% my hits|
|1 Shot Package||10%||1||2,9%|
|Shrine of Knowledge||5%||3||8,8%|
|2 Observatory Blueprints||15%||6||17,6%|
As you can see, many random rewards were collected. Statistics in some cases is almost identical like the developres defined it (for example for Field or Renovation Kit). In other it is very divergent (for example in Shot Packages). There are a few causes. First is the number of draws – it was still not enough. If you draw 100 chests the statistics may look different. Nevertheless the event was not a cheat. Who didn’t draw what he wanted got a bad luck. Who did – was a lucky man. I won 7 Fields, 3 Shrines and 4 Renovation Kids, and that was the only interesting prizes for me, so i think i am a lucky man this time. In my case the risk paid off and i choosed well to draw chests instead of certain rewards. Why?
In fact i am happy that i won only 14 of 34 of my rewards, but what if you count how many cups it would be needed to buy it as a certain rewards?
Shrine cost was 6250 cups and Field was 4000. It means, that to buy 3 Shrines and 7 Fields it was needed to spend 18 750 + 28 000 = 46 750 cups in total. Meanwhile i got it for only 23 800 cups and some other “trash” in addition. Half the cost. I was lucky.
Conclusion? The risk paid off and it was a good idea to draw the chests. Well, if you wanted to win Rogues Hideout, Chempions Retreat, diamond buildings, Hall of Fame you weren’t so lucky, becasue you had to choose certain rewards and pay a lot of cups.
And how did you go in this event? What have you won?
2. Rewards in the order of winning. Screens.
Is there any right in the order of winning?